Empire State Realty Stock Performance

ESBA Stock  USD 6.53  0.05  0.76%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.1, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Empire State's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Empire State is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Empire State Realty has a negative expected return of -0.11%. Please make sure to confirm Empire State's maximum drawdown, kurtosis, day median price, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and daily balance of power , to decide if Empire State Realty performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Empire State Realty has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest inconsistent performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors. ...more
 
Empire State dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow407 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-397.1 M

Empire State Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  725.00  in Empire State Realty on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (72.00) from holding Empire State Realty or give up 9.93% of portfolio value over 90 days. Empire State Realty is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.4377% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 30% of stocks are less volatile than Empire, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Empire State is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.64 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Empire State Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Empire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.53 90 days 6.53 
about 60.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Empire State to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 60.15 (This Empire State Realty probability density function shows the probability of Empire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Empire State has a beta of 0.1 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Empire State average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Empire State Realty will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Empire State Realty has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Empire State Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Empire State

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Empire State Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.096.539.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.135.579.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.296.7310.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.006.366.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Empire State. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Empire State's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Empire State's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Empire State Realty.

Empire State Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Empire State is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Empire State's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Empire State Realty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Empire State within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Empire State Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Empire State for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Empire State Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Empire State Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Empire State Realty has high historical volatility and very poor performance
On 31st of December 2025 Empire State paid $ 0.035 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Empire State Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Empire Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Empire State's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Empire State's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding269 M
Cash And Short Term Investments385.5 M

Empire State Fundamentals Growth

Empire Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Empire State, and Empire State fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Empire Stock performance.

About Empire State Performance

By analyzing Empire State's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Empire State's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Empire State has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Empire State has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Empire State Realty OP, L.P. operates as a subsidiary of Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. Empire State operates under REITOffice classification in the United States and is traded on AMEX Exchange. It employs 693 people.

Things to note about Empire State Realty performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Empire State for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Empire State Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Empire State Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Empire State Realty has high historical volatility and very poor performance
On 31st of December 2025 Empire State paid $ 0.035 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Evaluating Empire State's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Empire State's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Empire State's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Empire State's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Empire State's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Empire State's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Empire State's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Empire State's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Empire State's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Empire State's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Empire State's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Empire State's price analysis, check to measure Empire State's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Empire State is operating at the current time. Most of Empire State's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Empire State's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Empire State's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Empire State to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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